When Merck & Co. separates pharmacy-benefits manager Medco into a
public company this summer -- ending a nine-year marriage -- investors who
buy Medco shares also will pick up some heavy baggage.
According to Medco's recently filed preliminary prospectus, the
soon-to-be independent pharmacy-benefits manager will continue to be
beholden to its former parent, Merck, even if that becomes detrimental to
Medco.
Of course, prospectuses typically warn about a multitude of negative
possibilities that may never happen. But in Medco's case, the prospectus
lays out the terms of a relationship that appears to hand Medco the short
end of the financial stick.
As a pharmacy-benefits manager, or PBM, Medco contracts with large
employers and health insurers to administer their prescription-drug plans.
Then, combining the buying power of those clients, Medco can extract
discounts and rebates from large drug makers, passing on some of those
savings to its clients. Among Medco's biggest clients are General Motors,
Delta Air Lines and several major Blue Cross and Blue Shield health plans.
During the past several years, every major drug maker who owned a PBM
except for Merck, based in Whitehouse Station, N.J., sold it off amid
complaints about conflicts of interest voiced by customers as well as
federal and other government regulators. The concern: If a PBM is owned by a
drug manufacturer, it may be more likely to push its parent company's
medications than worry about getting the best prices for its clients. Such
conflicts ultimately could cost the PBM customers and drag down its results.
So in January, when Merck announced it would spin off its PBM into an
independent company, it seemed Medco finally would be able to lose the cloud
of suspicion that it had a hidden agenda to push Merck medicines.
But this latest Securities and Exchange Commission filing suggests the
cloud isn't going away anytime soon. In fact, according to the prospectus,
Medco plans to enter into a five-year contract with Merck that forces Medco
to push a certain amount of Merck drugs. "What that tells me is that Merck
is still keeping some of its claws in Medco," says Daren Marhula, who covers
pharmacy-benefit stocks for U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray.
A spokesman for Merck said the company couldn't comment because of its
quiet period triggered by the filing.
Merck intends to first offer about 20% of Medco to the public this
summer. Within the subsequent 12 months, Merck likely will spin off the rest
of the shares to its own shareholders. Analysts are guessing Medco would be
valued about $10 billion, thus the initial public offering would raise about
$2 billion. A substantial portion of the proceeds from the sale would be
used to pay down Merck debt.
It's really no wonder that Merck would try to keep some hold on the
PBM. Medco, which managed $30 billion of drug spending for more than 65
million Americans in 2001, is influential when it comes to which medications
consumers use. In the filing, Medco finally admits something competitors
have suspected for years: "The market share of Merck products under plans we
manage or administer has in the aggregate exceeded the market share of Merck
products from sales by Merck to other customers."
That could be music to the ears of Medco's competitors, who could end
up being the real winners after the spinoff. AdvancePCS, Express Scripts and
Caremark Rx, which in aggregate provide pharmacy-benefit services to more
than 100 million Americans, have long suggested to potential customers that
Medco can't be objective in choosing the best and lowest-priced drugs
because of Merck's ownership. So the disclosures in the prospectus are
"better than any of those CEOs could have imagined," says Kevin Berg,
analyst at First Albany. He says Medco's rivals are likely using the
prospectus as part of their marketing materials.
Indeed, certain language in the prospectus plays directly into the
fear that Medco has placed Merck's interests in front of those of all
others. The agreement with Merck "requires us to use our best efforts to
avoid any practices that restrict or discourage use of Merck products and
not take any action to prefer other products," the filing says. Of course,
the accord makes an exemption "for clear and objective safety reasons or
where such actions would have a clear and objective material adverse
economic impact on a plan sponsor." But clearly, Merck medicines will be
favored.
The penalty for not maintaining a certain level of market share for
Merck medications is steep. Not only will Medco not receive discounts and
rebates, but it will be required to pay Merck "liquidated damages," which
will amount to a "substantial majority of Merck's lost revenues."
Such obligations to one pharmaceutical firm for a PBM -- which has to
negotiate expertly with a wide variety of drug makers to get the lowest
prices for its clients -- poses problems for other relationships. Medco
acknowledges that, under this pact, it "may have to take steps to comply
with the agreement that create uncertainties and risks for our business
relationships with other pharmaceutical manufacturers and with our clients."
In addition, this Merck contract "may reduce our flexibility in negotiating
agreements with other pharmaceutical manufacturers or our ability to earn
rebates under agreements with them."
More importantly, Medco's deal with Merck appears to be unique, even
though the company has said for some time that it negotiates with Merck just
as it does with any other drug maker. Instead, the filing discloses that the
accord with Merck "contains a number of terms that are not contained in, or
are substantially different from comparable provisions of, our agreements
with other pharmaceutical manufacturers."
Meanwhile, Medco's spinoff could have other adverse effects, according
to the filing. UnitedHealth Group, Medco's largest client, can terminate its
contract following the spinoff. Some analysts speculate UnitedHealth, the
country's largest health insurer based in Minneapolis, will likely
terminate, and run a PBM business in-house, or at the very least negotiate
for a better contract, rather than wait until the contract expires in 2005.
Medco's revenue from UnitedHealth in 2001 was $4.6 billion, about 16% of
Medco's total revenue. A UnitedHealth spokesman says, "We expect our
relationship to continue. We have a very good relationship and believe they
are doing an excellent job working with us to meet the needs of our
clients."
UnitedHealth isn't the only one who could back out this summer.
Medco's filing says "a few clients" can terminate their contracts following
the spinoff.
Meanwhile, the prospectus doesn't paint a rosy picture of the PBM
industry's prospects, even as it opens a window into the sector's secretive
rebates and discounts. "Consolidation among drug companies has enabled drug
makers to decrease the amount of rebates they offer" to PBMs for peddling
their products, it says. "Competitive pressures also have caused Medco and
others to share with clients "a larger portion of the rebates received from
pharmaceutical manufacturers, increase the discounts offered to clients and
reduce the prices charged to clients for services." As a result, the
company's gross margins fell to 4.4% in 2001 from 5.5% in 1999.
...The agreement requires us to maintain a market share for Merck products at specified levels. These provisions, in some respects, impose greater obligations on us than similar agreements we have with other pharmaceutical manufacturers....
...Under our managed care agreement with Merck, our rebates could decline by a substantial amount and we may have to pay substantial liquidated damages to Merck if we fail to achieve specified market share levels.
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